Is housing prices expected to rise in the near future?

happy couple with home keys

Due to concerns about the weak economy, the Canadian Central Bank decided to unexpectedly lower its key interest rate by 50 basis points on October 23, from 4.25% to 3.75%. This reduction in the interest rate may be a positive development for potential homebuyers, as it could lead to increased demand for real estate. However, the influx of new buyers on the market could also have a negative impact, as it may drive up prices.

While the interest rate cut may be good news for sellers as it could increase demand and lead to more auctions. However, the effects of the rate change may not be immediate and could take some time to fully materialize.

Even without reducing the interest rate, we have returned to a situation where there are multiple offers for the same property. Of course, there are still no offers for well over 100 thousand dollars above the listed price, but it is not unusual to see an offer 25, 30, or even 50 thousand dollars higher if 5 – 6 buyers have expressed interest in the property. This is especially true in the house market. The condominium market, however, is less in demand.

Today, a property worth 500 thousand dollars is the most desired. As a rule, first-time buyers come to me with letters from their bank stating that their future home’s value should not exceed this amount. Houses within this price range simply “fly off the shelf”, selling in the first week. That said, million-dollar homes that meet all requirements and are well-maintained are still in high demand. I have attended several auctions for these properties.

The Association of Real Estate Brokers of Quebec reports that real estate sales in the Montreal region jumped by 43.8% (!) in October compared to the same month last year.

I would advise families planning to buy a house not to wait until March or April for the search to begin. You can start searching for a house right now and make a purchase with a notary in June. However, the choice of a house, inspection, and verification of documents — all this can be done now.

Always ready to help you, Olga Ouspenski, real estate broker with 20 years of experience. Please contact me : +1-514-999-9260, , or here  www.OlgaOuspenski.net/.

Real Estate: The Broken Dream of the Middle Class

farm houseMore recently, finding one’s own property was seen as a rite of passage into a new stage in independent life. That’s also why our ancestors respected peasants: although they may not have been rich, they were masters of their own land. Home ownership does take effort, and adulthood is when a person directs their resources towards the construction or acquisition of a home, its upkeep, providing for their family, and planning for their future. Funds are no longer solely spent on entertainment.

However, access to property may not be as unimaginable as today. Society was structured around the needs of ordinary families – it supported our concept of the common good.

buying-house-dreamUnfortunately, a lot has changed in recent years. For the past 30 years, society has been divided between two extremes. On the one hand, there is a global elite whose main desire is to feel at home anywhere on the planet, in megalopolises. On the other hand, there are low-income individuals who receive various forms of life support. And what about the people in the middle, the so-called “middle class”? This group is under pressure and does not benefit from the society it helps to finance. Now, it is becoming increasingly difficult for middle-class people to acquire property, which often proves to be simply out of their reach, as it involves financial hardship.

It would be naive to believe that all this would have no political impact. People who are forced to delay buying a home for an indefinite period lose hope of improving their lives, which inevitably affects their participation in the political process of the country.

Buying your own home is not just a financial matter, but also an essential aspect of our daily lives that should not be overlooked.

Therefore, I would advise you to begin by purchasing an affordable home or apartment. Do not wait until prices continue to rise and money becomes meaningless.

Always ready to help you, Olga Ouspenski, real estate broker with 20 years of experience. Contact me : +1-514-999-9260, , or here  www.OlgaOuspenski.net/.

Towards spring awakening

Spring money growth2023 ended with a slight decline in sales and home prices in the Greater Montreal area. But the market should recover soon, perhaps at the same time as nature, at the end of winter, experts predict.

According to real estate firm Royal LePage, we saw some “passivity” from buyers in 2023 as the year saw widely reported increases in mortgage rates. And while there may seem to be an increase in the number of “For Sale” signs on city streets, supply remains “historically” low. In the Montreal region, the number of homes on the market is currently 47% lower than the average over the past decade. However, not everything is so gloomy and hopeless. In its report, Royal LePage noted that demand for property viewings is already growing. This certainly means that potential buyers are expecting better deals this year and are already in the home-hunting phase.

New house keys transferThis is exactly what realtors observe in their practice. “They have a lot more calls, a lot more visits,” confirms Dominic St-Pierre, vice-president and general manager of Royal LePage, Quebec region. He predicts a “hot” spring market. Which has nothing to do with temperature, he clarifies. Buyers are waiting for real reassurance about the Bank of Canada’s intentions and lower mortgage interest rates. “And even if the decline does not happen now,” adds Mr. St. Pierre, but at least in the near future. Once this is done, we should see a gradual return of life, especially among buyers who have put their projects on hold to wait for these more favorable conditions.

The market recovery will not be as strong as in 2021, which was exceptional, but “the market should be very active again,” says Dominique St-Pierre, “like before the pandemic, when the real estate market in Montreal was very active.”

Home owners can be sure that their property continues to increase in value. Statistics for 2023 confirm the rise in residential property values both in Montreal and throughout Quebec. Average property prices are expected to rise another 5% in 2024.

If we observe the market over a longer period, we note a 30.6% increase in property values over the past four years in the Montreal region – from the end of 2019 to the end of 2023.

Fall – winter 2023: what to expect from real estate market prices?

thinkingThose who were planning to buy a house this fall are probably keeping an eye on rising mortgage interest rates. And not only them. Those, who have already purchased property and are due to renew their mortgage this year, are also watching with bated breath what disputes flare up in the press over the growing banking interests. It is now becoming clear that housing prices will not rise soon, but will most likely fall, primarily for apartments (condominiums or condos for short), which are less popular than houses.

My clients who were qualified by the bank to buy a $500,000 home in 2022 are only qualifying to buy a $400,000 home or condo this year. Therefore, many of them believe that it is better to buy a good condo than a bad house. It should be considered that buying a condo is much more complicated than buying a house because you are not only buying your personal space, but also common areas with limited use, such as balconies or parking spaces. Each owner must respect the rules of living in the building. For example, it may be prohibited to have dogs, barbecue on the balcony, or wash your car in the parking lot.

Once the buyer’s offer has been accepted by the seller, the future owner has 10 days to review the annual meetings and financial statements for the last 3 years. If the buyer is not satisfied with the financial situation of the co-ownership, for example, at a meeting in 2021, a decision was made to replace the roof in 2024 and the approximate estimate is $200,000. However, the co-ownership has barely $50,000 in its account, which is definitely not enough and threatens urgent additional payments. This is a valid reason for refusal of purchase.

Here are two interesting condo options in Brossard on the South Shore of Montreal:

Condo 3 bedrooms and garage, 359 000$:

505 Rue St-François, app. 204

Condo 2 bedrooms and garage, 298 000$:

2540 Rue Nassau, app. E, Brossard

There are also attractive proposals in Montreal:

Condo 2 bedrooms and garage, 347 700$:

8295 Rue Sherbrooke E., app. 41, Montreal
8295 Rue Sherbrooke E., app. 41, Montreal

Condo 3 bedrooms and garage, 359 000$:

853 Ch. du Bord-du-Lac-Lakeshore, app. C, ( Dorval), Montreal
853 Ch. du Bord-du-Lac-Lakeshore, app. C, ( Dorval), Montreal

Always ready to help you, Olga Ouspenski, real estate broker with 20 years of experience. Contact me : +1-514-999-9260, , or here  www.OlgaOuspenski.net/.

Autumn news of the Montreal real estate market

I finally got numbers for real estate sales in October 2022, so I can look at what is happening in the Montreal real estate market and the surrounding area.
House prices have been dropping, as they usually do in the autumn, after the end of the spring and summer home buying season.
However, the market is still in favour of the sellers. Unfortunately, the choice of good houses in good areas of Montreal and on the South Shore (Longueuil, St-Hubert, St-Bruno, etc) remains poor. Detached houses no older than 30 years, are sold in Longueuil for more than $600000, in Montreal – $800000 and more.
Compared to October last year, prices for single-family houses in Quebec have increased by 9%, and for 2-plex and 3-plex by 21%. But this is already lower than prices were this spring.
Prices began to decline for “illiquid housing markets”, i.e. badly located or in need of major repairs. Such houses now “hang” and if someone wants to make renovations to his style, he can bargain and buy such a house.
At the present, the buyers have the chance to buy a new, more spacious house by selling the existing one.  In the spring, it was impossible to do this because there were multiple offers on every house, with 20 or 30 buyers for one house.

What to expect in November and December?

November and December are historically 2 of the 3 best months to buy a home if you want a deal.
Economists predict that the Bank of Canada will raise its interest rate again this year before interest rates stabilize. If the Canadian economy falls into recession, we could see mortgage rates drop starting in late 2023.
Of course, life does not stop and, as always, in the spring, a revival in the real estate market will begin. Therefore, buyers would be wise to obtain a pre-approval letter and lock in today’s mortgage rate for 90 days, then attempt to buy a house or condo in January, when prices will be lowered.
I wish to remind you that under the new law of 2022, the buyer is required to have their own real estate agent. The seller’s realtor is not authorized to represent the interests of the buyer and the seller at the same time.
Some proverbs give good advice, like “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”
Please contact me, and I will be happy to help you become the owner of a new house or condo.